Representative from Vermont Peter Welch (D) on Monday announced he was stepping down from the House of Representatives, making him the 17th Democrat to announce his departure from the chamber ahead of the 2022 midterm elections.
Welch said in a video posted to YouTube that he was leaving to sue the Senate seat left vacant by the senator. Patrick leahy (D-VT), who this month announced he is stepping down after 46 years in the post. Welch’s departure brings the total number of House Democrats who have said they will retire to 17, nearly double the 10 Republicans who have announced they will not stand for re-election.
The retirements have put Democrats in an increasingly difficult position to claim the chamber when it takes over in 2023. They currently hold an eight-seat majority over Republicans, 221-213, which means Democrats must prevent Republicans from overthrowing five seats in order to retain their majority. .
Among the other Democrats who have announced their departure are the Representatives. Lamb Conor (PENNSYLVANIA), Charlie crist (FL), Ron like (WI), and Tim ryan (D), each of which represents districts where their personal popularity has played a key role in the success of the re-election campaigns.
Republicans who have announced their retirement, by contrast, come from relatively safe neighborhoods for their party, including representatives. Mo Brooks (MO), Billy Long (MO), and Vicky Hartzler (MO), each of whom goes to the Senate. The seat occupied by the Rep. Adam kinzinger (R-IL), which is likely to swing in favor of Democrats after the redistribution, is the most notable exception.
A survey from Quinnipiac University published Last week, 46% of Americans said they wanted Republicans to take control of the House in 2022, while 38% said they were in favor of Democrats. A forecast from FiveThirtyEight released the same week found that Republicans had 42.4% House wins, while Democrats stood at 42.1%. This publication considerably overestimated The Democrats’ odds in 2020, which gives them a 90% chance of winning by more than the 222 seats they held in this election.
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