Welcome to Monday, May 16, Brew.
By: Samuel Wonacott
Here is what awaits you to start your day:
- That’s the number of statewide metrics that have been certified for the ballot this year
- A look back at the May 17 primaries in Pennsylvania
- A look back at the May 17 primaries in North Carolina
That’s the number of statewide metrics that have been certified for the ballot this year
We periodically bring you updates on certified voting metrics.
So far, we’ve tracked 93 statewide ballot metrics that have been certified for balloting in 33 states. This is 10 less than the average number certified at this point in other even-numbered years from 2010 to 2020..
Here is the last one:
Seven new measure was certified last week:
Signatures have been submitted and are awaiting verification for ten initiatives in California, Idaho, Missouri, North Dakota and South Dakota:
Enough signatures have been verified to of them initiatives in Alaska and Ohio to certify them to the legislature:
From 2010 to 2020, the average number of statewide ballot measures certified in an even year was 164. At that time, in even years from 2010 to 2020, an average of 103 Statewide measures had been certified for the ballot.
Click below to learn more about this year’s voting measures.
A look back at the May 17 primaries in Pennsylvania
Five States will hold statewide primaries tomorrow May 17 – Idaho, Kentucky, North Carolina, Oregon and Pennsylvania. Last week we looked at the elections in Idaho, Kentuckyand Oregon. Let’s round out our series of May 17 primary previews with Pennsylvania and North Carolina.
First, the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania.
At the congressional level, Pennsylvania voters will decide on a Republican and Democratic primary for the state Seat in the United States Senateand Republican and Democratic primaries for all 18 state elections American house districts.
The Republican and Democratic primaries for the state’s U.S. Senate seat are closely watched across the country as the general election is expected to be competitive. As of May 10, three independent race forecasters consider general elections either as a Throw in the air or Republican tilt. The current incumbent, Sen. Pat Toomey (R), retires.
Seven candidates are running in the Republican primary. Candidates with the most votes include Mehmet Ozauthor and former surgeon and television host, David McCormickCEO of an investment management firm and former Under Secretary of the Treasury for International Affairs in the George W. Bush administration (right), and Catherine Barnette, a political commentator who worked in corporate finance after serving in the U.S. Army Reserve. Former president donald trump (R) approved Oz on April 9. Barnette trailed McCormick and Oz in the polls for most of the race but in recent weeks polled near the top of the peloton. A recent survey conducted May 7-9 put Oz at 23%, Barnette at 21% and McCormick at 19% (the poll has a margin of error ± 3.6 percentage points).
the Democratic primary presents four candidates, including the lieutenant-governor. John Fetterman and US Representative. Conor Lamb, who have received the most campaign contributions, media attention and lead in the polls. Fetterman served as mayor of Braddock, Pennsylvania from 2005 to 2019 and was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Lamb was an assistant U.S. attorney and was first elected to the U.S. House of Representatives in a special election in March 2018, before being re-elected in 2018 and 2020. Yahoo News” Christopher Wilson wrote that running for Toomey’s seat “could be the Democratic Party’s best chance of securing a Senate seat in the fall.”
We’ll tell you more about the Pennsylvania Senate primaries in Tuesday’s edition.
Pennsylvania is one of six states with one Democratic US Senator and one Republican Senator. President Joe Biden (D) won the state by 1.2 percentage points in the 2020 presidential election. The state’s U.S. House delegation is currently split between nine Democrats and nine Republicans.
Pennsylvania also holds elections for Governor and Lieutenant Governor, 25 seats in the State Senate, and 203 seats in the State House. Forty-two of the 190 Pennsylvania state lawmakers who have sought re-election this year — 20 Democrats and 22 Republicans — will face contested primaries. The rate of incumbents facing contested primaries – 22% – is the highest rate since 2014. The remaining 78% of incumbents do not face primary challengers.
In Pennsylvania, the primary candidate with the most votes wins, even if that candidate receives less than 50% of the total vote. Pennsylvania is one of the 40 states without a primary ballot. The state does not cancel uncontested primaries.
Click below for more on the May 17 primary in Pennsylvania.
A look back at the May 17 primaries in North Carolina
Now that we’ve looked at the upcoming Pennsylvania primaries, let’s head south to North Carolina.
On May 17, North Carolina residents will have the opportunity to vote in the Republican and Democratic primaries for a Seat in the United States Senate and Republican and Democratic primaries for the 13 American House Quarters. Status is 50 State Senate seats and 120 state house the seats are also on the ballot. North Carolina is one of the six states which is not holding state executive elections this year.
Republican and Democratic primary candidates for North Carolina’s U.S. Senate seat are running to replace the incumbent Richard Burer (R), who is retiring.
Fourteen candidates present themselves the republican primary. The candidates who have dominated recent polls and received the most media attention are Ted Bud, Pat McCroryand Mark Walker. Asset approved Budd, a U.S. Representative since 2017, in June 2021. Budd’s Senate endorsement was among Trump’s first in this election cycle. McCrory served as governor from 2013 to 2017. Prior to that, McCrory served as mayor of Charlotte from 1995 to 2009, while Walker represented North Carolina’s 6th congressional district from 2015 to 2021 and served as pastor for 16 years prior.
Ten candidates are running in the Democratic primary.
As of May 10, three independent election forecasters viewed the general election as lean republican.
All 14 of North Carolina House Neighborhoods are up for election, four of which are open, meaning no incumbents are standing. The current delegation is split between eight Republicans and five Democrats.
In the State Senate, all 50 seats are up for election. Republicans control this chamber 28-22. In the State House, all 120 seats are up for election. The Republicans control this chamber 69-51. In both houses, the number of uncontested state legislative districts in North Carolina increased from 14 in 2020 to 51 in 2022. The increase in uncontested districts was driven by a decline in Democratic challengers. In 2020, Democrats ran in 166 of the state’s 170 districts and Republicans ran in 160. This year, Republicans again ran in 160 districts while Democrats ran in 129.
For more on the May 17 primaries in North Carolina, click below.